MM Yearling Sales Catalogue (Part 2)

No Nay Never 

No Nay Never starts with a number of the new stallions whose progeny are making their debut at the MM yearling sales of 2020, During my trip to Ireland in 2016, most of the people in the industry considered him to be the most promising horse entering the breeding barn that year. His record to date says they were on the right track. His stud fee has risen from an initial E25k, to E100k and is reportedly going to be E200k next season. This is more than promising, it mirrors results.

What has he achieved to date? Firstly he was a pretty good racehorse with wins in England, America and France in only 6 starts.  In 2018 he was the leading first season sire in Great Britain /Ireland and had a G1 winner (Ten Sovereigns) included in his first crop of 18SW.

Is Australia the right place for him?

How successful might he be in Australia? Ten Sovereigns is out of an Exceed and Excel mare which should send a few green lights flashing. In fact of the 18SW, Danzig line stallions as the broodmare sire account for seven. Australia is not short of Danzig line broodmares through Danehill and all his sons.

Along the No Nay Never sire line all stallions back to Northern Dancer himself cross well with Danzig line mares. No Nay Never could do great things in Australia. The abundance of mare talent available from Danehill/Danzig lines is a positive. Our fixation of getting a quick return breeding sprinters another. Of the 17 Yearlings on offer, ten are from Danehill line mares and there should be good demand for them. Whether they will pay back their sale price is another question, but most should at least win a race or two.

Passed in at $25,000

Passed in at $25,000

A final word on the Sale

If you see a horse like the one in the photograph, stop and take a second look. The colt was passed in at $US25,000. The few people that viewed  him commented that he was too small. He went on to have a racetrack record of 18 starts, 14 wins, 2 seconds and 2 thirds. His four G1 successes included the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes. Northern Dancer went on to become the greatest sire of the 20th Century. There will be bargains at the Sale-the problem is they are not always obvious.

MM Yearling Sales Catalogue 2020 (Part 1)

Well, everyone interested in the Yearling sales of 2020 has now got their catalogues. and the sales will soon be underway. There are undoubtedly good winning horses there-the problem for buyers is identifying them among those who won’t be winners. All you need is a bit of skill and plenty of luck. The 2020 sales kick off with the Magic Millions. I don’t propose to go through the whole catalogue but let’s look at what for me are a couple of highlights.

Delta Crosses are rare

The most interesting horse to me is lot 209, a colt by Snitzel out of a Encosta de Lago mare.This colt has a 2×2 cross of a full brother to a full sister (Redoute’s Choice x Monsoon Wedding). The parentage of both horses is Danehill x Shantha’s Choice.  This cross is a type of Delta cross and is quite rare. It is not often you find a proven highly successful stallion with his full sister in the female tail line. Of course to have a chance of success both sire and dam participating in the cross need to be of good quality. Mating low quality stallion and mare just to get a delta cross won’t achieve much. In this case no-one would argue about  Redoute’s Choice and Shantha’s Choice being of high quality.

Well does it work? Lando, probably the best German horse in the last 25 years, was a 3×3 Delta Cross (Liberat x Liberty). Both son and daughter being by Birkhahn out of Lis.  Lando raced successfully in the United States and Europe and won the 1965 Japan Cup in which two Aussies (Danewin and Stony Bay) finished down the track.

Lando-winner Japan Cup 1995

Lando-winner Japan Cup 1995

 Other examples are Habibti 5x G1, 1x G2 and one of the highest ranked sprinters in European racing history, that was a Delta cross; 5×4 Neraco to Sun Princess.

River Bay, 2xG1, 1xG2 was the winner of the Hollywood Gold Cup and was a Delta cross 5×5; Nearco to Mumtaz Begum. 

Is close inbreeding 2×2 a problem? Well it was common but fell out of favour many years ago. But if you want a view, here is a start: